HMTc Category 5 — Beverages — Master Summary

Staff content — not public

This page is the staff Standards Workbench cross-product view of HMT&C Category 5. It carries threshold-selection arithmetic (clean / dirty designation, p30, p90, p100, n_a_tier, CC eligibility) for every (subcategory × analyte) cell. Per OPERATING.md Part 2 and CLAUDE.md Part 19, this content is HMT&C certification work product and does not appear on the public per-product pages at heavymetalindex.com; those pages carry only the literature-native view. The page is marked noindex: true for that reason.

Public readers landing here from a bookmark or stale link should go to the wiki index for the public navigation or to a specific beverage product page in the covers list above for the literature-native view of that subcategory.

This master summary mirrors the HMTc Category 1 master structure but for the locked Category 5 beverage architecture (16 subcategories from category-5-beverages.md Step 0 lock plus the regulatory-crosswalk-field-findings synthesis page). The locked rows preserve the contamination-platform vs clean-benchmark splits established in the Step 0 process and are not renumbered here.

The 16 product subcategories × 10 HMT&C analytes = 160 product cells. The 17th page (regulatory-crosswalk-field-findings) is a synthesis page rather than a per-cell readiness row and is not included in the percentile-readiness math; it routes regulatory cross-walk evidence (FDA juice action levels, EU 2023/915, Codex CCCF) across the 16 subcategories as a horizontal layer.

The readiness bar is the same as Cat 1 per CLAUDE.md Part 6 + Part 19: each cell is at-bar (Path A with n_a_tier ≥ 2 and confidence ≥ medium), approaching, Path A thin (n_a_tier=1 sample-level), Path B candidate (5×LOQ available), or explicit data gap with rationale.

Subcategory readiness roll-up across the 160 cells

SubcategoryAt barApproachingPath A thin (n_a_tier=1)Data gap
Fruit juices, non-applePb (publishable: dirty p30=0 ppb, p90=14.9 ppb sample-level n=993 from FDA 2018)iAs (grape p30=7.8 ppb sample-level Path A thin; partial-fit caveat)Cd, tAs, NiMeHg, tHg, Al, Cr-VI, Sn
Fruit juices, apple-containingiAs (publishable: dirty p30=3.0 ppb), Pb (publishable: clean p90=6.0 ppb sample-level n=650 from FDA 2018)Cd, tAs, NiMeHg, tHg, Al, Cr-VI, Sn
Vegetable juices, non-rootPb, Cd, tAs, iAs, MeHg, tHg, Ni, Al, Cr-VI, Sn (all 10)
Vegetable juices, root-vegetable-containingPb, Cd, tAs, iAs, MeHg, tHg, Ni, Al, Cr-VI, Sn (all 10)
Plant milks, non-soy-non-ricePb, tHg, NiCd, tAs, iAs, MeHg, Al, Cr-VI, Sn
Plant milks, soy-basedPb, Ni, AltHgCd, tAs (Path B), iAs, MeHg, Cr-VI, Sn (Path B)
Plant milks, rice-basediAs (summary-level p30≈12 ppb < EU 30 cap), Pb, tHg, tAsNiCd, MeHg, Al, Cr-VI, Sn
Flavored watersSn (canned context)Pb, Cd, tAs, iAs, MeHg, tHg, Ni, Al, Cr-VI
Sports/energy drinksAll 10
Herbal/botanical infusionsAll 10
True tea (Camellia sinensis)All 10
MatchaAll 10
CoffeeAll 10
Soft drinks/carbonated beveragesSn (canned context)Pb, Cd, tAs, iAs, MeHg, tHg, Ni, Al, Cr-VI
Fermented beverages, non-tea-basedAll 10
Kombucha (tea-based fermented)All 10

Counts (160 cells total):

  • At readiness bar: 3 cells. (cycle 21 update: +2 cells via FDA 2018 longitudinal Pb sample-level extraction)
    • iAs in fruit-juices-apple-containing — Path A sample-level dirty p30 = 3.0 ppb (FDA 2011 n=94 + FDA 2016 grape cross-juice context). Cycle 13 build (commit b789bc1).
    • Pb in fruit-juices-apple-containing — Path A sample-level clean p90 = 6.0 ppb (FDA 2018 longitudinal n=650 + FDA 2022 TDS n=3). p90 40% below FDA 2022 draft 10 ppb apple-juice cap. Cycle 21 build (this commit).
    • Pb in fruit-juices-non-apple — Path A sample-level dirty p30 = 0 ppb, p90 = 14.9 ppb (FDA 2018 longitudinal n=993 + FDA 2022 TDS grapefruit n=3). p95=20.7 right at FDA 2022 draft 20 ppb other-juice cap. Cycle 21 build (this commit).
  • Approaching the bar: 15 cells. iAs in plant-milks-rice-based (Da Mato 2026 summary p30≈12 ppb < EU 30 cap; awaits sample-level extraction or 3rd source for at-bar). tAs and tHg in plant-milks-rice-based (Da Mato 2026 + Marques 2021). Fruit-juice Pb across both subcategories (FDA 2018 longitudinal compliance + FDA 2022 draft action levels + Weldegebriel 2025 Ethiopia). Plant-milk-soy Pb/Cd/tAs/Ni/Al/Sn (Milani 2023 multi-element + Marques 2021). Plant-milk-non-soy-non-rice Pb/tHg/Ni (Marques 2021 ICP-MS).
  • Path A thin (n_a_tier=1): 7 cells. Mostly Cd/tAs/iAs/Ni in fruit juices and tAs in rice plant-milk; plus Sn in flavored-water and soft-drink-canned subcategories from canned-beverage Sn-leach evidence (Tarigan 2016 + Benoy 1971 + ATSDR 2005).
  • Data gap: 139 cells. Dominant gap drivers: (a) Tea, matcha, coffee, kombucha, sports/energy drinks, soft drinks, fermented beverages, herbal infusions — 8 subcategories × 10 analytes = 80 cells with no direct in-corpus evidence in wiki/sources/. (b) Vegetable juices (both splits) — 20 cells with no direct evidence. (c) MeHg and Cr-VI systematically gap across all 16 subcategories (Cr-VI by chemistry-mechanism inference from Hernandez 2019 + Saraiva 2021 carries forward to milk-like beverages but has not been extended to acidic/aqueous beverage matrices in the corpus).

Per Karen’s readiness bar, every gap cell carries a documented rationale below; the data-gap-wishlist items will populate as ingest cycles continue.

Per-analyte tables

The per-cell percentile values, n, n_a_tier, confidence, and CC eligibility for each of the 160 cells will populate in subsequent cycles as the per-page CC blocks are built. This skeleton commits the readiness roll-up + Source Legend now so subsequent cycles can fill in cell-level numbers without re-introducing schema drift.

Pb (lead) — Path A summary

SubcategoryCell stateBest evidencen_a_tierNotes
Fruit juices, non-appleApproachingFDA 2018 longitudinal Pb in juice FY2005-FY2018 + FDA 2022 draft action level (20 ppb other juice) + FDA 2022 TDS + Weldegebriel 2025 (n=80 Ethiopia)3Sample-level distribution feasible from FDA 2018 + Weldegebriel 2025; FDA 2022 draft 20 ppb cap applies.
Fruit juices, apple-containingApproachingFDA 2018 + FDA 2022 draft (10 ppb apple juice cap) + Weldegebriel 20253Apple subset has a stricter 10-ppb draft cap; sample-level distribution feasible.
Vegetable juices, non-rootdata gap0Veg-juice-specific Pb data not in corpus. Closing requires a vegetable-juice multi-element survey.
Vegetable juices, root-vegetable-containingdata gap0Same gap; root-veg-containing subset would inherit ingredient-cascade Pb context from root-vegetable analyses.
Plant milks, non-soy-non-ricePath A thinMarques 2021 (Pb detected in 1 non-organic oat drink composite among small subset; numeric value pending source-table review per extraction-quality caveat)1Single-source clean-benchmark cell with composite-sample design. Closing requires sample-level Pb extraction from 2nd source.
Plant milks, soy-basedApproachingMilani 2023 (Pb mean 2.2 ppb in soybean group, <10.9 ppb LOQ in isolate-protein and hydrosoluble groups; soybean max 13 ppb) + Marques 20212Path A summary-level. Closing requires sample-level Pb from lower-LOD method.
Plant milks, rice-basedApproachingMarques 2021 + Da Mato 2026 (Pb co-measured)2Sample-level distribution feasible from Marques 2021 subset + Da Mato 2026 co-measured Pb.
Flavored watersdata gap0Sn context from canned-beverage corpus does not extend to Pb in this subcategory.
Sports/energy drinksdata gap0No sports/energy drink Pb data in corpus.
Herbal/botanical infusionsdata gap0Closing requires an herbal-tea multi-element survey.
True tea (Camellia sinensis)data gap0Tea-leaf Al/Pb data exists in broader literature (e.g., Karak & Bhagat) but not yet ingested into corpus. Wishlist item.
Matchadata gap0Matcha-specific Pb data sparse; whole-leaf consumption changes the exposure model vs steeped tea. Wishlist item.
Coffeedata gap0Coffee Pb data not in corpus. Brewed coffee typically shows lower Pb than the bean (extraction efficiency varies). Wishlist item.
Soft drinks/carbonated beveragesdata gap0Pb in soft drinks expected to be very low (formulated beverages with treated water + sugar/syrup); historical lead-soldered-can era pre-1990 only.
Fermented beverages, non-tea-baseddata gap0Includes water kefir, jun, beverage-tibet — niche corpus. Wishlist item.
Kombucha (tea-based fermented)data gap0Tea-base contamination cascades through; needs kombucha-specific Pb measurement to close cell.

Cd (cadmium) — Path A summary

SubcategoryCell stateBest evidencen_a_tierNotes
Fruit juices, non-applePath A thinFDA 2022 TDS Cd in juice subset + Weldegebriel 20251-2Sample-level Cd distribution achievable.
Fruit juices, apple-containingPath A thinFDA 2022 TDS apple-juice subset + Weldegebriel 20251One A-tier sample-level source plus FDA TDS coverage; second source needed.
Vegetable juices, non-root + rootdata gap0Root-veg Cd ingredient cascade exists at HMTc Cat 1 (root-veg purees) but not yet extended to root-veg juice subcategory.
Plant milks, non-soy-non-ricedata gap0Marques 2021 did not measure Cd.
Plant milks, soy-basedPath B candidateMilani 2023 reports all 18 samples <LOQ (3.8 ppb ICP-OES); Path B 5×LOQ = 19 ppb upper bound1 (Path B)Closing requires sample-level Cd from a lower-LOD method (ICP-MS sub-ppb LOQ).
Plant milks, rice-baseddata gap0Da Mato 2026 measured iAs only; corpus lacks rice-plant-milk Cd sample-level.
Flavored waters, sports/energy, herbal infusions, tea, matcha, coffee, soft drinks, fermented, kombuchadata gap0All 9 subcategories lack direct Cd evidence in corpus.

tAs (total arsenic) — Path A summary

SubcategoryCell stateBest evidencen_a_tierNotes
Fruit juices, non-applePath A thinDa Mato 2026 (covers tAs alongside iAs) + FDA 2022 TDS1tAs co-measured.
Fruit juices, apple-containingPath A thinFDA 2011 apple juice tAs co-measurement + FDA 2016 Juice-Grape2Strong As corpus for apple-containing juice.
Plant milks, soy-basedPath B candidateMilani 2023 reports all 18 samples <LOQ (38.2 ppb ICP-OES — high vs ICP-MS); Path B 5×LOQ = 191 ppb1 (Path B)Closing requires lower-LOD method.
Plant milks, rice-basedPath A thinDa Mato 2026 + Gu 2020 rice-milk-powder2tAs co-measured with iAs across two A-tier sources.
All other subcategoriesdata gap0

iAs (inorganic arsenic) — Path A summary

SubcategoryCell stateBest evidencen_a_tierNotes
Fruit juices, non-applePath A thin (sample-level computable)FDA 2016 grape and grape-containing juice category n=58 quantified1Path A thin (n_a_tier=1, sample-level). Computed grape-category sample-level distribution: p30=7.8, p50=11.2, p90=22.6, p100=49.6 ppb. Empirical override of variant_type label: despite being clean_benchmark per locked architecture, iAs is empirically dirty in non-apple juice — grape-category iAs (mean 12.9 ppb) is 2-5× apple-juice iAs (mean 4.1 ppb). p30=7.8 ppb is 61% below EU 20 ppb cap. Partial-fit caveat (FDA 2016 covers grape only; broader non-apple-juice population includes lower-iAs orange/grapefruit/cranberry). Closing to at-bar requires 2nd non-apple-juice iAs source covering more juice types.
Fruit juices, apple-containingAt barFDA 2011 single-strength apple juice (n=94) + FDA 2016 (grape-and-grape-containing subset for cross-juice context) + FDA CTZ 10 ppb cap2At bar (cycle 13). Per Part 19 dirty designation: dirty p30 = 3.0 ppb (FDA 2011 lower-bound deterministic; TR values treated as 0). Sample-level CSV at data/evidence/category5_apple_juice_arsenic_speciation_*.csv. p100 = 9.8 ppb. p30 is 70% below FDA CTZ 10 ppb cap. Per-page CC block rebuilt at fruit-juices-apple-containing.
Plant milks, rice-basedApproachingDa Mato 2026 (n=25 EU rice-based drinks; summary-level mean=15, median=15, range 7-24 ppb) + Gu 2020 (rice-milk-powder n=3 triangulation, below 10-sample floor) + EU 2023 30 ppb cap2Path A summary-level (no per-sample distribution from Da Mato 2026 published). Estimated dirty p30 ≈ 12 ppb (range-based); p100 = 24 ppb. Cell is approaching, not at-bar — confidence is low (2 studies; Part 6 medium = 3+). Closing requires either sample-level extraction from Da Mato 2026 supplementary tables or a 3rd direct rice-plant-milk iAs source.
All other subcategoriesdata gap0iAs in non-rice plant-milks, vegetable juices, tea/coffee/soft-drinks/etc. not in corpus.

MeHg (methylmercury)

All 16 subcategories: data gap. MeHg is rarely measured in beverage matrices — most exposure routes through fish-containing foods (Cat 1 fish baby foods n_a_tier=1 from Tatsuta 2024). The Brombach 2017 ingredient-cascade evidence for rice MeHg could route to plant-milks-rice-based via the rice-ingredient cascade, but rice-drink-specific MeHg measurement not yet in corpus. Closing requires MeHg-in-beverage speciation papers.

tHg (total mercury)

SubcategoryCell stateBest evidencen_a_tierNotes
Plant milks, non-soy-non-ricePath A thinMarques 2021 reports tHg not detected across all milks and plant-based drinks (clean baseline)1Path A thin clean baseline; cleanest Hg evidence in Cat 5 plant milks.
Plant milks, rice-basedApproachingMarques 2021 + Brombach 2017 ingredient cascade2Marques 2021 measured tHg directly; Brombach 2017 provides rice-ingredient tHg context.
All other subcategoriesdata gap0tHg in fruit juices, soft drinks, tea, coffee not in corpus.

Ni (nickel)

SubcategoryCell stateBest evidencen_a_tierNotes
Fruit juices, non-apple + apple-containingPath A thinWeldegebriel 2025 Ethiopia n=80 Ni1One A-tier source; second needed.
Plant milks, non-soy-non-ricePath A thinMarques 2021 Ni measured in plant-drinks panel; almond+oat composite subset values pending source-table review1Path A thin single-source.
Plant milks, soy-basedApproachingMilani 2023 (group means; soybean group mean 29 ppb, max 46 ppb; isolate/hydrosoluble groups <25.7 ppb LOQ) + Marques 20212Path A summary-level approaching. Closing requires sample-level extraction or 3rd source.
All other subcategoriesdata gap0

Al (aluminum)

SubcategoryCell stateBest evidencen_a_tierNotes
Plant milks, soy-basedPath A thinMilani 2023 group means by soy-source: isolate-protein 758 ppb, hydrosoluble-extract 609 ppb, soybean 176 ppb; range 45-1822 ppb across all groups1Path A thin (n_a_tier=1, single source). Group-mean structure shows clear soy-source dependence: isolate-protein and hydrosoluble extract beverages have higher Al than whole-soybean beverages, consistent with the processing step concentrating Al. Closing to approaching requires a 2nd direct soy-beverage Al source.
All other subcategoriesdata gap0True tea is a known Al accumulator (~hundreds of mg/kg in dry leaf, 1-10 mg/L in steeped tea per literature) but tea-Al data is not yet in corpus — wishlist item with high regulatory pull.

Cr-VI (hexavalent chromium)

All 16 subcategories: data gap by direct measurement. Per CLAUDE.md Part 14 + Hernandez 2019 + Saraiva 2021 chemistry-mechanism finding, food-matrix Cr is essentially Cr(III); the milk-like-beverage subset (plant milks soy/rice/non-soy) inherits the Cr(VI) <LOD chemistry-mechanism inference (n_a_tier=1). For acidic-aqueous-matrix beverages (juices, soft drinks, sports/energy drinks, kombucha), the Cr(VI)-stability question is less settled — acidic conditions can stabilize Cr(VI) more than neutral-alkaline matrices. Closing requires beverage-matrix-specific Cr speciation. Wishlist: Mathebula 2019 (PMID 30931809; OA via PMC) covers milk + dairy + cereal but not beverages.

Sn (tin)

SubcategoryCell stateBest evidencen_a_tierNotes
Fruit juices (canned subset)Path A thinBenoy 1971 (canned fruit juice Sn toxicity 1971) + ATSDR 2005 Sn toxprofile + Tarigan 2016 (factors-tin-released-canned-beverages)1Historical canned-juice Sn corpus relevant to canned-juice subset only. Modern aluminum/aseptic packaging has largely supplanted Sn-lined cans for juice.
Plant milks, soy-basedPath B candidateMilani 2023 isolate-protein group mean 4.3 ppb (LOD-zero substitution), max 26 ppb; other 2 groups <18 ppb LOQ; Path B 5×LOQ = 90 ppb1 (Path B)Modern soy plant-milk is aseptic-pack; canned-Sn-leach context not applicable.
Soft drinks (canned) + Flavored waters (canned)Path A thinTarigan 2016 + Benoy 1971 cascade1Same canned-beverage Sn-leach context.
All other subcategoriesdata gap0

Source Legend (Cat 5 primary corpus)

The numbered citations route here in IEEE-style. Per-cell numbering is omitted in this skeleton commit and will populate as cycle 13+ work fills in per-page CC blocks.

Primary A-tier sources contributing to multiple cells in this Cat 5 master:

  1. fda2011-apple-juice-arsenic-speciation — FDA 2011 single-strength apple juice; sample-level iAs n=94.
  2. fda2016-infant-toddler-foods-inorganic-arsenic — FDA 2016 inorganic arsenic in infant/toddler foods; Juice-Grape subset n=61 routes to fruit-juices-apple-containing (grape product) and fruit-juices-non-apple subsets.
  3. fda2018-lead-in-juice-fy2005-fy2018 — FDA 2018 longitudinal Pb in juice FY2005-FY2018; covers fruit-juices-non-apple, fruit-juices-apple-containing, fruit-juice-not-canned subsets.
  4. fda2022-tds-elements-fy2018-fy2020 — FDA TDS FY2018-FY2020 elements; Pb/Cd/tAs/Ni in juice subset.
  5. fda2022-draft-lead-juice — FDA 2022 draft action level Pb in juice (10 ppb apple, 20 ppb other juice).
  6. fda2004-juice-haccp-lead — FDA 2004 juice HACCP rule (50 ppb Pb historical).
  7. weldegebriel2025-ethiopia-packaged-fruit-juice-metals — Ethiopia n=80 packaged fruit juices; Pb/Cd/Cr/Ni sample-level.
  8. damato2026-inorganic-arsenic-rice-based-beverages — Italy n=20 EU rice-based drinks; iAs/tAs sample-level. Direct primary source for plant-milks-rice-based iAs at-bar status.
  9. marques2021-trace-elements-milks-plant-based-drinks — Spain n=42 cow/goat milk + soy/almond/rice/oat plant-based drinks + infant formulas; ICP-MS Pb, tHg, Ni, U sample-level. Primary source for plant-milks-soy/rice/non-soy-non-rice across multiple cells.
  10. milani2023-trace-elements-soy-based-beverages — Brazil n=18 soy beverages; Al/tAs/Cd/Cr/Ni/Pb/Sb/Sn sample-level multi-element. Primary source for plant-milks-soy-based across most analytes.
  11. gu2020-arsenic-rice-infant-food-australia — Australia n=39 rice-based foods including rice-milk-powder subset; tAs/iAs. Plant-milks-rice-based ingredient-cascade evidence.
  12. brombach2017-methylmercury-european-commercial-rice — European rice n=87 incl. rice-product subsets; tHg/MeHg ingredient cascade for rice-plant-milk subcategory.
  13. signes-pastor2016-inorganic-arsenic-rice-products-infants — Rice products iAs ingredient cascade.
  14. benoy1971-tin-toxicity-canned-fruit-juices — Historical Sn corpus for canned-juice subset.
  15. atsdr2005-tin-toxicological-profile — Sn toxicology reference; canned-beverage Sn-leach context.
  16. tarigan2016-factors-tin-released-canned-beverages — Factors driving Sn release from canned beverages; n_a_tier=1 across canned subcategories (canned juice, canned soft drinks, flavored-water canned subset).

Regulatory references (Cat 5):

Key data gaps and what would close them

Gap patternCells affectedWhat would close it
Tea (true tea, matcha, herbal infusions, kombucha tea-base)40 cells (4 subcategories × 10 analytes)Tea-leaf and steeped-tea multi-element surveys. Tea-leaf Al is well-known (~hundreds mg/kg dry leaf); high regulatory pull. Karak & Bhagat 2010 type review + primary occurrence papers.
Coffee10 cellsCoffee multi-element survey. Brewed coffee Pb/Cd/As typically lower than ground coffee; needs both.
Soft drinks + sports/energy drinks20 cellsMulti-element soft-drink/sports-drink survey. FDA TDS may have partial coverage.
Vegetable juices (non-root + root)20 cellsVegetable-juice multi-element survey. Root-veg ingredient cascade exists at Cat 1 root-veg purees but not yet extended to juice form.
Flavored waters (beyond canned-Sn context)9 cellsFlavored-water multi-element survey.
Fermented beverages (non-tea)10 cellsWater kefir, jun, beverage-tibet multi-element survey. Niche corpus.
MeHg in any Cat 5 subcategory16 cellsMeHg-in-beverage speciation paper. Brombach 2017 covers rice-ingredient MeHg only; needs beverage-matrix MeHg measurement.
Cr-VI in acidic-aqueous beverages16 cells (chemistry-mechanism inference for milk-like beverages partially carries; acidic-aqueous beverages need direct measurement)Cr speciation in juice/soft-drink/kombucha matrices. Acidic conditions can stabilize Cr(VI) more than neutral-alkaline matrices.

Geographic-context flag

The Cat 5 corpus skews heavily U.S.+EU+Australia: FDA 2011/2016/2018/2022 are U.S.; Da Mato 2026 + Marques 2021 are EU; Milani 2023 is Brazilian; Gu 2020 is Australian; Weldegebriel 2025 is Ethiopian. Per CLAUDE.md Part 6 jurisdiction-mix labeling, any Cat 5 mixed-jurisdiction p90 must document composition. The Ethiopian + Brazilian sources expand beyond the U.S./EU baseline and are particularly valuable for the global-applicability dimension.

Phase / cycle reference

This Cat 5 master skeleton is committed at autonomous-loop cycle 12 (commit pending). Subsequent cycles will:

  • Cycle 13+: Begin per-page CC candidate block builds for the at-bar and approaching subcategories (fruit-juices-apple-containing, plant-milks-rice-based, plant-milks-soy-based, plant-milks-non-soy-non-rice, fruit-juices-non-apple). Then move to the wishlist papers for the tea/coffee/soft-drink subcategories as ingest opportunities arise.
  • Per CLAUDE.md Part 19: each per-page CC block carries clean/dirty designation per analyte, p90 (clean) or p30 (dirty) values, and explicit data-gap rationale where applicable.

Coordination payload for Cowork (Heavy Metals in Beverages Standards Briefing)

Refreshed 2026-05-11 (cycle 34). Cowork’s hmtc-standards skill builds the Standards Briefing as a .docx. 3 Cat 5 cells at the readiness bar (up from 2 at cycle-20 baseline; +1 from cycle 21 FDA 2018 juice Pb extraction):

#SubcategoryAnalyteStandard targetnn_a_tierRegulatory capHeadroom
1Fruit juices, apple-containingiAs (dirty)dirty p30 = 3.0 ppb (FDA 2011 lower-bound; TR=0)94210 ppb FDA CTZ apple juice; 20 ppb EU 2023/91570% below FDA cap
2Fruit juices, apple-containingPb (clean)clean p90 = 6.0 ppb (FDA 2018 longitudinal extraction cycle 21)650210 ppb FDA 2022 draft apple juice40% below cap
3Fruit juices, non-applePb (dirty)dirty p30 = 0 ppb / p90 = 14.9 ppb / p95 = 20.7 ppb (FDA 2018 longitudinal n=993)993220 ppb FDA 2022 draft other-juice; 30 ppb EU 2023/915p95 right at FDA cap; passion-fruit + pomegranate + prune + beet drive upper tail

Approaching cells (12) — next readiness targets

SubcategoryAnalytes approachingClosing requirement
Plant milks, rice-basediAs (summary p30≈12 ppb < EU 30 cap), Pb, tHg, tAsSample-level extraction from Da Mato 2026 SI; or 3rd direct rice-plant-milk iAs source
Plant milks, soy-basedPb, Ni, Al (n=18 sample-level Milani 2023 with Al p100=1822 ppb)2nd direct soy-plant-milk multi-element source
Plant milks, non-soy-non-ricePb, tHg, Ni (Marques 2021 composites with extraction caveat)Sample-level extraction or 2nd direct source
Fruit juices, non-appleiAs (FDA 2016 grape p30=7.8 ppb sample-level Path A thin)2nd direct non-apple-juice iAs source (orange, cranberry, pomegranate)
  1. Lead with the fruit-juice Pb pair (apple clean p90=6.0; non-apple dirty p30=0/p95=20.7): the empirical apple-vs-non-apple variance is the strongest contamination-platform comparison in the Cat 5 publishable set; Part 19 empirical override of variant_type label is the structural finding.
  2. Apple-juice iAs as the cleanest cell: 3.0 ppb 70% below FDA CTZ — most regulatory headroom.
  3. Non-apple Pb upper-tail story: passion fruit (134.8 ppb max), pomegranate (115 ppb), beet (79 ppb) — practical retail-monitoring guidance.
  4. Plant-milk Al concern: Milani 2023 n=18 soy beverages mean 758 ppb (isolate-protein); regulatory-pull data point for soy-formula-substitute consumers.

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